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Ratings › Adelaide 36ers

Adelaide 36ers

Ranked 7 of 10 in 2026-27, record 3-4 after 7 games.

AdjEM-0.1#7
Adj. offense116.7#5
Adj. defense116.7#8
Adj. tempo77.8#10
Finals chance60%16.2 proj. wins
Title chance6%GF 14%

AdjEM through the season

-10-5+0+5+10Preseason21 Sep24 Sep27 Sep02 Oct07 Oct10 Oct

Adelaide in colour, the rest of the league in grey. The first point is the preseason rating, built from last season. Preseason: +1.5 (#4).

Scouting report

Four FactorsOffenseDefenseLeague avg
Effective FG% 52.4%7 56.7%9 54.2%
Turnover % 14.0%5 15.9%3 14.7%
Off. rebound % 35.0%3 33.5%7 32.1%
Free-throw rate 29.7%5 22.8%2 29.6%

Offensive rebound % on defense = the opponent's. Turnover % on defense = turnovers forced per possession (higher is better there). Not opponent-adjusted.

ShootingTeamOpponents
3-point %32.6%735.4%8
2-point %55.5%759.0%8
3PA share of shots46.1%339.4%3
Free-throw %68.5%8–
Assists per made FG70.1%167.4%10
Steal % / Block %7.3%45.4%9
Bench share of points23.1%7–

Schedule strength & luck

Opponents played (avg AdjEM)+0.93
Opponents still to play-0.47
Raw efficiency (off / def)115.3 / 119.5
Wins vs expected (luck)-0.37
Wins above an average team (résumé)-0.37

Luck compares the record with what the ratings expected for those games. Résumé credits wins by how hard they'd be for an average team (opponent and venue).

Where they'll finish

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Early-season odds are rough. Only 29 of 165 regular-season games have been played, so each team's rating rests on a handful of games plus a fading carry-over from last season. The model doesn't know about roster changes, imports or injuries. Expect these percentages to move a lot over the next few weeks.

Ladder position across 10,000 simulated seasons. Top two go straight to the semis; 3rd to 6th play in. Minor premiership 3%, top two 10%, semis 33%.

Schedule & predictions

DateOpponentWin %ProjResultWatch

Win % and projected score for played games are what the model said before tip-off, using only earlier games. Watch: stars for played games, a 0–100 pre-game thrill score for upcoming ones.

Roster (2026-27)

PlayerGPMPGPPGRPGAPG TS%USG%AST%REB%ORtg+/- 40
Bryce Cotton G 737.225.01.67.3 62.1%28.6%33.7%2.3%104.2-3.5
Zylan Cheatham F 733.412.16.74.6 68.7%14.2%20.3%10.8%113.6-1.9
Nick Rakocevic FC 731.419.911.32.6 54.5%27.6%16.2%19.3%101.8+0.4
Jacob Rigoni F 721.64.72.91.7 43.6%13.2%11.1%7.2%73.5-2.4
John Jenkins G 624.311.31.70.7 47.8%22.3%4.4%3.7%92.9-9.1
Keanu Rasmussen G 716.84.71.71.7 42.8%16.4%14.9%5.3%75.8-2.7
Matt Kenyon G 716.34.03.41.1 64.3%8.5%10.0%11.0%128.7-2.5
Isaac White G 612.44.71.31.3 49.9%18.6%16.3%5.7%90.1-2.7
Deonte Williams G 55.33.20.40.4 59.5%25.3%14.1%4.0%103.6-16.6
Ben Griscti FC 55.01.00.80.4 62.5%8.7%10.9%8.2%100.0-20.6
Flynn Cameron G 119.96.02.06.0 33.3%22.4%43.1%5.7%60.0+4.0
Corey Webster G 26.30.00.50.0 0.0%6.9%0.0%3.6%0.0+19.0